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Are we currently living in an ice age? Answered by Science Channel
Yes. An ice age is a period over tens of millions of years where the Earth is cold enough to produce permanent ice sheets. Since permanent ice sheets currently exist in Greenland and Antarctica, it qualifies the current age to be an ice age. This current ice age began 30 million years ago. Within an ice age there are warm periods referred to as "interglacial" and cold periods referred to as "glacial." We are in an interglacial period right now.
There are signs that the Earth is entering a very unpleasant cooling period. Sunspot activity remains very low.
"The sun has been very unusual for almost 15 years now," Jens Pedersen, senior scientist at the Denmark's Technical University, said.
Pedersen said the sun recently reached solar maximum and that there should be a lot of sunspot activity, but there isn't.
"We have to go back 100 years to find a solar maximum that was as weak as the one we are in right now," he told CBN News. "And the recent solar minimum…one has to go back 200 years to find one that was as weak."
The last time the sun was this quiet, North America and Europe suffered through a weather event from the 1600s to the 1800s known as "Little Ice Age," when the Thames River in London regularly froze solid, and North America saw terrible winters. Crops failed and people starved.
What causes an ice age? Will another one occur? Since it had become generally recognized by the mid-nineteenth-century that much of Europe had once been covered by a great sheet of ice, scientists have been wondering what could cause such vast shifts in the Earth’s climate. Some began looking for underlying astronomical causes. They already knew that the tilt of Earth’s axis caused seasonal change, and also that small variations in Earth’s orbit, over tens of thousands of years, affected the amount of solar energy reaching Earth. Several scientists had proposed the existence of a cycle of global winters, but none of their figures seemed accurate, and testing their reliability was difficult. Each theory was eventually shelved.
In 1911 a young Serbian mathematician, Milutin Milankovitch, decided to chart the ice ages of the Pleistocene. (The Pleistocene is the epoch that began 1.8 million years ago and ended about 11,500 years ago. It was characterized by lengthy ice ages, when glaciers covered large regions of the continents, interrupted by short interglacial periods, when the climate was temperate.) All Milankovitch’s calculations were done by hand, and he worked at them obsessively for the next thirty years. He incorporated new information about small variations in the tilt of the Earth’s axis, and factored in small orbital changes caused by the gravitational tug of other planets. Each of these orbital variations has its own time scale, and consequently they interact in different ways over time, but each one is regular. Going back 600,000 years in his computations, he carefully calculated the effect of these factors on incoming solar radiation across the Northern Hemisphere. The charts and tabulations Milankovitch created are still used today. He also measured summer solar radiation curves in high northern latitudes, where the ice age glaciers originated, linking certain low points with four previous European Pleistocene ice ages. Ultimately, the mathematician arrived at a complete astronomical theory of glaciation.
On the basis of his analysis, Milankovitch concluded that Earth’s orbit changes in three cycles of different lengths. The shape of Earth’s orbit around the Sun changes from less to more and back to less elliptical in about 96,000 years. The Earth is tilted on its axis of rotation relative to the solar plane, currently at an angle of 23.5°. This tilt changes, however, from 21.5° to 24.5° and back again in about 41,000 years. Finally, the Earth’s axis of spin wobbles with a period of 23,000 years. The challenges for Milankovitch were to understand when the three cycles were coincident with each other and how they worked together to influence insolation (the amount of solar radiation received by the Earth). Based on his computations, Milankovitch theorized variations of more than twenty percent in the amount of sunshine reaching the northern latitudes. In his 1941 account, Canon of Insolation and the Ice Age Problem, he suggested that this caused the waxing and waning of the great continental ice sheets.
Like that of several predecessors, Milankovitch’s work was greeted with considerable excitement, but was then largely dismissed. Ice ages are difficult to date, partly because each erases much of the traces of its predecessor. However, the tables were turned by the late 1960s. Technical advances made it possible for geologists to study deep-sea sediment cores that contain a climate record going back millions of years. This climate record shows remarkably regular variations, which correlate with the mathematician’s figures and which are now known as Milankovitch cycles. However, it is also clear that astronomical factors alone cannot cause the large changes that the Earth experienced. Other factors must also influence climate but scientists still do not know how.
So what do you think the best way to PREVENT this from happening might be?
originally posted by: schuyler
Yes, we are now in an "inter-glacial period." People might want to pay attention to the word "inter-glacial" and what it implies, then look up how long the last few "inter-glacial period" have been.
Are we on the same page yet?
OK. So I think we might possibly agree that given the population distribution today that it might be a good idea to avoid one of those glacial thingies that seem to happen with such regularity. I mean, I live in the Great Northwest and last time we had one of those glacial thingies there was a mile high sheet of ice over what is now Seattle and I'm thinking of that happens again my hearty fuschias are going to have a hard time blooming. On the other hand, no one will have to worry about climbing the peaks of the Olympic or Cascade Mountains because the glacier will be high enough so you can just walk to them and climb a very small hill.
So what do you think the best way to PREVENT this from happening might be?
I'm thinking we ought to burn a whole lot of carbon fuel and throw enough CO-2 into the atmosphere so this whole thing is prevented. I think we already have the infrastructure to do this in place, so the best thing you could do for the future of humanity is buy an SUV.
originally posted by: schuyler
Yes, we are now in an "inter-glacial period." People might want to pay attention to the word "inter-glacial" and what it implies, then look up how long the last few "inter-glacial period" have been.
Are we on the same page yet?
originally posted by: pheonix358
The return to a Glacial period happens with some warning. The 200 year cold spell 1600-1800 was one of those warnings. We will have another very soon.
The problem is that the warnings come with all sorts of violent and unpredictable weather changes. We are experiencing these right now. The upshot is, we are heading for a Glacial Period, we cannot stop it and we cannot survive with a population of 7 Billion.
It is my belief that the Governments know what is happening and are preparing for it.
It is the reason that Governments are becoming tyrannical.
P