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If you mean Mr. Randi, he still hasn't paid out the million dollars yet, which his organization would be legally required to pay if someone actually can demonstrate supernatural ability.
Cuervo
"Paging Mr. Randy, party of one. Paging Mr. Randy. Your crow sandwich is almost ready to eat."
Arbitrageur
Radin talks about getting 32% right on a multiple choice where 25% correct would be the unbiased norm, but 32% instead of 25% can actually happen from chance and bias in spite of Radin's claims to the contrary.
Meanwhile believing in the existence of something has become part even of such solid sciences like physics. ... Space and time are insuperable frontiers for our explorative attempts of today. We have to believe that they exist, based on mathematical predictions.
In parapsychology the situation is somehow reversed. We don’t have a theory of anomalous phenomena, but we have experiences which indicate the existence of anomalous phenomena. And we have indications that dealing with psi anomalies scientifically requires that I already believe in the existence of these anomalies if I want to obtain positive and significant results. ... Yet, in the case of parapsychology, the Cartesian doubts are counterproductive, as it has been shown at last by the failed replication tests performed by the MMI consortium (Jahn et al, 2000). ... Yet, in the case of parapsychology, the Cartesian doubts are counterproductive, as it has been shown at last by the failed replication tests performed by the MMI consortium (Jahn et al, 2000).
Parapsychology has to be considered a scientific discipline as long as human beings have experiences which can’t be explained with the help of conventional scientific knowledge. However, this discipline has research approaches different from any other scientific branch. Against skeptic claims that no paranormal effects were ever replicated, we have to state that replications are possible.
Arbitrageur
Radin talks about getting 32% right on a multiple choice where 25% correct would be the unbiased norm, but 32% instead of 25% can actually happen from chance and bias in spite of Radin's claims to the contrary. Randi will pay out the million for something that cannot happen by chance statistically. Getting 75% right on a large enough number of questions would probably qualify as paranormal if 25% was random chance. 32% is not that impressive, because it's only 7% more than random chance.edit on 16-3-2014 by Arbitrageur because: clarification
He goes by probability. It's something like 1 in 1000 for the preliminary test and much higher than that like maybe one in a million for the million dollar prize, but you have to look at it by putting yourself in Randi's shows. If you got lets say a million applicants, and only required odds of 10 in a million by random chance, then you would pay a million dollars each to 10 different people who had absolutely no ability at all, which doesn't seem quite right.
BayesLike
Then he will never pay it out. 100% can happen by chance even if 25% is correct and there is no bias anywhere. It does have an extremely low probability though.
Aliensun
reply to post by Aliensun
Radin and his group were doing exactly "quantum science."
Cargo cult science refers to practices that have the semblance of being scientific, but do not in fact follow the scientific method.[1] The term was first used by physicist Richard Feynman during his 1974 commencement address at the California Institute of Technology. Cargo cults—the religious practice that has appeared in many traditional tribal societies in the wake of interaction with technologically advanced cultures—focus on obtaining the material wealth (the "cargo") of the advanced culture by building mock aircraft, landing strips, and the like.
Articles submitted for publication will be reviewed by scientific peers. Realizing the interchangeable roles of authors and reviewers, the positive aspect of the reviewing process will be retained by providing the authors with the reviewers' comments. Authors should judge which part of the reviewers' suggestions are appropriate to improve the quality of his or her paper. The editor, who is responsible for the Journal, will allow a large degree of freedom to the authors in this process.
Getting 75% right on a large enough number of questions would probably qualify as paranormal if 25% was random chance.
Arbitrageur
If you mean Mr. Randi, he still hasn't paid out the million dollars yet, which his organization would be legally required to pay if someone actually can demonstrate supernatural ability.
Cuervo
"Paging Mr. Randy, party of one. Paging Mr. Randy. Your crow sandwich is almost ready to eat."
Radin talks about getting 32% right on a multiple choice where 25% correct would be the unbiased norm, but 32% instead of 25% can actually happen from chance and bias in spite of Radin's claims to the contrary. Randi will pay out the million for something that cannot happen by chance statistically. Getting 75% right on a large enough number of questions would probably qualify as paranormal if 25% was random chance. 32% is not that impressive, because it's only 7% more than random chance.edit on 16-3-2014 by Arbitrageur because: clarification
emphases mine
The suggestion that ending the Challenge after 10 years supports any statement that psi does not exist or someone would have won the challenge, is absurd on many levels.
The procedures for the Challenge included several hurdles in favor of, and multiple "outs" for Randi and the JREF that any discerning individual capable of any kind of extraordinary human performance would think twice about (and here I'm not just referring to psychics and the like).
...
Randi will say those results aren't good enough, because you could get such a result by chance 5 in 1,000 times. Thus, he will require odds against chance of at least a million to 1 to pay out $1 million, and then the amount of time and money it would take to get a significant result would be far in excess of $1 million.
...
Perusing the rules of the Million Dollar Challenge would certainly give most people cause for concern. Two of the most important, especially when combined, are rules #4 and #8:
4. Applicant agrees that all data (photographic, recorded, written, etc.) gathered as a result of the setup, the protocol, and the actual testing, may be used freely by the JREF.
8. When entering into this challenge, as far as this may be done by established legal statutes, the applicant surrenders any and all rights to legal action against Mr. Randi, and/or against any persons peripherally involved, and/or against the James Randi Educational Foundation. This applies to injury, and/or accident, and/or any other damage of a physical and/or emotional nature, and/or financial and/or professional loss, and/or damage of any kind. However, this rule in no way affects the awarding of the prize, once it is properly won in accord with the protocol.
In other words, applicants give the JREF/Randi virtually absolute license to use the data as best suits their publicity needs, without any legal recourse for the participant.
...
James Randi has a history of engaging in the twisting of the truth...Randi's recommendation of Dr. Krippner was certainly acceptable to me. However, when I contacted Dr. Krippner directly to see if Mr. Randi’s statement about him serving on the panel was correct, Dr. Krippner was concerned. Dr. Krippner explained that he had previously emailed Mr. Randi stating that he would not agree to serve on such a committee. The truth is, Dr. Krippner was not willing to serve on the panel, and he made this clear to Mr. Randi.
Cuervo
Arbitrageur
If you mean Mr. Randi, he still hasn't paid out the million dollars yet, which his organization would be legally required to pay if someone actually can demonstrate supernatural ability.
Cuervo
"Paging Mr. Randy, party of one. Paging Mr. Randy. Your crow sandwich is almost ready to eat."
Radin talks about getting 32% right on a multiple choice where 25% correct would be the unbiased norm, but 32% instead of 25% can actually happen from chance and bias in spite of Radin's claims to the contrary. Randi will pay out the million for something that cannot happen by chance statistically. Getting 75% right on a large enough number of questions would probably qualify as paranormal if 25% was random chance. 32% is not that impressive, because it's only 7% more than random chance.edit on 16-3-2014 by Arbitrageur because: clarification
The test was to find out if intention/observation would make a difference. 32% over 25% on a large-scale study is actually huge. Most pharmaceuticals are based on margins of improvement much smaller than that.
Bottom line is that it suggests that these folks involved in the non-control group made a difference. That's significant no matter how you look at it.