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originally posted by: BobAthome
a reply to: ikonoklast
another country for your Chart,
Macedonia,, Skorpji,,
When considering speed of infection, it is spreading fastest in Sierra Leone. The number of cases in the past 21 days as a percentage of total cases was 40 per cent, according to WHO. In Liberia and Guinea, cases during this period represented 34 per cent and 26 per cent, respectively.
But it is not just people in west Africa who are at risk – in recent weeks, the disease has also made its way to countries outside of Africa, sounding alarm bells for the international community as it already struggles with the burden of trying to eliminate the outbreak inside Africa.
The country has joined Argentina and the US in tightening its port entry procedures for ships that have sailed from West Africa, in an attempt to contain the deadly virus, Reuters news agency reported.
Brazil’s health surveillance agency, Anvisa, said that any ships known to have docked in Ebola-affected countries within the last 21 days will need to provide thorough medical records and logs of medicines used before receiving clearance to dock at Brazilian ports.
...that the case fatality rate is 70.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69 to 73) among persons with known clinical outcome of infection.
from: wishes
It is all too possible the 'official' numbers are inaccurate to begin with so we're all left to speculate best guesses on all fronts.
originally posted by: TruthxIsxInxThexMist
a reply to: ikonoklast
So, by your projections, it looks like we will see a sharp increase around 15th November?
Hope you are wrong.
I'd rather not look at chart projections to tell you the truth... it looks far too scary!
But there is hope... some in monrovia are surviving and/or seem to be immune to the disease which means tests can be done on those which would maybe help others.
originally posted by: Micksy
There are lots of things that could change those curves.
That is hopeful. Do you by chance have a link to reliable statistics on the percentage of people who seem to be immune?
originally posted by: soficrow
a reply to: ikonoklast
Kudos for focusing on hope. Despite what the numbers say.
PS. Just noticed worst case scenario -linear and algorithmic- the whole world will be exposed/infected by June-July next year [September?]. Sorry - have a hard time with graphs.